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  • Sam Altman on Trust, Persuasion, and the Future of Intelligence: A Deep Dive into AI, Power, and Human Adaptation

    TL;DW

    Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, explains how AI will soon revolutionize productivity, science, and society. GPT-6 will represent the first leap from imitation to original discovery. Within a few years, major organizations will be mostly AI-run, energy will become the key constraint, and the way humans work, communicate, and learn will change permanently. Yet, trust, persuasion, and meaning remain human domains.

    Key Takeaways

    OpenAI’s speed comes from focus, delegation, and clarity. Hardware efforts mirror software culture despite slower cycles. Email is “very bad,” Slack only slightly better—AI-native collaboration tools will replace them. GPT-6 will make new scientific discoveries, not just summarize others. Billion-dollar companies could run with two or three people and AI systems, though social trust will slow adoption. Governments will inevitably act as insurers of last resort for AI but shouldn’t control it. AI trust depends on neutrality—paid bias would destroy user confidence. Energy is the new bottleneck, with short-term reliance on natural gas and long-term fusion and solar dominance. Education and work will shift toward AI literacy, while privacy, free expression, and adult autonomy remain central. The real danger isn’t rogue AI but subtle, unintentional persuasion shaping global beliefs. Books and culture will survive, but the way we work and think will be transformed.

    Summary

    Altman begins by describing how OpenAI achieved rapid progress through delegation and simplicity. The company’s mission is clearer than ever: build the infrastructure and intelligence needed for AGI. Hardware projects now run with the same creative intensity as software, though timelines are longer and risk higher.

    He views traditional communication systems as broken. Email creates inertia and fake productivity; Slack is only a temporary fix. Altman foresees a fully AI-driven coordination layer where agents manage most tasks autonomously, escalating to humans only when needed.

    GPT-6, he says, may become the first AI to generate new science rather than assist with existing research—a leap comparable to GPT-3’s Turing-test breakthrough. Within a few years, divisions of OpenAI could be 85% AI-run. Billion-dollar companies will operate with tiny human teams and vast AI infrastructure. Society, however, will lag in trust—people irrationally prefer human judgment even when AIs outperform them.

    Governments, he predicts, will become the “insurer of last resort” for the AI-driven economy, similar to their role in finance and nuclear energy. He opposes overregulation but accepts deeper state involvement. Trust and transparency will be vital; AI products must not accept paid manipulation. A single biased recommendation would destroy ChatGPT’s relationship with users.

    Commerce will evolve: neutral commissions and low margins will replace ad taxes. Altman welcomes shrinking profit margins as signs of efficiency. He sees AI as a driver of abundance, reducing costs across industries but expanding opportunity through scale.

    Creativity and art will remain human in meaning even as AI equals or surpasses technical skill. AI-generated poetry may reach “8.8 out of 10” quality soon, perhaps even a perfect 10—but emotional context and authorship will still matter. The process of deciding what is great may always be human.

    Energy, not compute, is the ultimate constraint. “We need more electrons,” he says. Natural gas will fill the gap short term, while fusion and solar power dominate the future. He remains bullish on fusion and expects it to combine with solar in driving abundance.

    Education will shift from degrees to capability. College returns will fall while AI literacy becomes essential. Instead of formal training, people will learn through AI itself—asking it to teach them how to use it better. Institutions will resist change, but individuals will adapt faster.

    Privacy and freedom of use are core principles. Altman wants adults treated like adults, protected by doctor-level confidentiality with AI. However, guardrails remain for users in mental distress. He values expressive freedom but sees the need for mental-health-aware design.

    The most profound risk he highlights isn’t rogue superintelligence but “accidental persuasion”—AI subtly influencing beliefs at scale without intent. Global reliance on a few large models could create unseen cultural drift. He worries about AI’s power to nudge societies rather than destroy them.

    Culturally, he expects the rhythm of daily work to change completely. Emails, meetings, and Slack will vanish, replaced by AI mediation. Family life, friendship, and nature will remain largely untouched. Books will persist but as a smaller share of learning, displaced by interactive, AI-driven experiences.

    Altman’s philosophical close: one day, humanity will build a safe, self-improving superintelligence. Before it begins, someone must type the first prompt. His question—what should those words be?—remains unanswered, a reflection of humility before the unknown future of intelligence.

  • Extropic’s Thermodynamic Revolution: 10,000x More Efficient AI That Could Smash the Energy Wall

    Artificial intelligence is about to hit an energy wall. As data centers devour gigawatts to power models like GPT-4, the cost of computation is scaling faster than our ability to produce electricity. Extropic Corporation, a deep-tech startup founded three years ago, believes it has found a way through that wall — by reinventing the computer itself. Their new class of thermodynamic hardware could make generative AI up to 10,000× more energy-efficient than today’s GPUs:contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}.

    From GPUs to TSUs: The End of the Hardware Lottery

    Modern AI runs on GPUs — chips originally designed for graphics rendering, not probabilistic reasoning. Each floating-point operation burns precious joules moving data across silicon. Extropic argues that this design is fundamentally mismatched to the needs of modern AI, which is probabilistic by nature. Instead of computing exact results, generative models sample from vast probability spaces. The company’s solution is the Thermodynamic Sampling Unit (TSU) — a chip that doesn’t process numbers, but samples from probability distributions directly:contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}.

    TSUs are built entirely from standard CMOS transistors, meaning they can scale using existing semiconductor fabs. Unlike exotic academic approaches that require magnetic junctions or optical randomness, Extropic’s design uses the natural thermal noise of transistors as its source of entropy. This turns what engineers usually fight to suppress — noise — into the very fuel for computation.

    X0 and XTR-0: The Birth of a New Computing Platform

    Extropic’s first hardware platform, XTR-0 (Experimental Testing & Research Platform 0), combines a CPU, FPGA, and sockets for daughterboards containing early test chips called X0. X0 proved that all-transistor probabilistic circuits can generate programmable randomness at scale. These chips perform operations like sampling from Bernoulli, Gaussian, or categorical distributions — the building blocks of probabilistic AI:contentReference[oaicite:2]{index=2}.

    The company’s pbit circuit acts like an electronic coin flipper, generating millions of biased random bits per second using 10,000× less energy than a GPU’s floating-point addition. Higher-order circuits like pdit (categorical sampler), pmode (Gaussian sampler), and pMoG (mixture-of-Gaussians generator) expand the toolkit, enabling full probabilistic models to be implemented natively in silicon. Together, these circuits form the foundation of the TSU architecture — a physical embodiment of energy-based computation:contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}.

    The Denoising Thermodynamic Model (DTM): Diffusion Without the Energy Bill

    Hardware alone isn’t enough. Extropic also introduced a new AI algorithm built specifically for TSUs — the Denoising Thermodynamic Model (DTM). Inspired by diffusion models like Stable Diffusion, DTMs chain together multiple energy-based models that gradually denoise data over time. This architecture avoids the “mixing–expressivity trade-off” that plagues traditional EBMs, making them both scalable and efficient:contentReference[oaicite:4]{index=4}.

    In simulations, DTMs running on modeled TSUs matched GPU-based diffusion models on image-generation benchmarks like Fashion-MNIST — while consuming roughly one ten-thousandth the energy. That’s the difference between joules and picojoules per image. The company’s open-source library, thrml, lets researchers simulate TSUs today, and even replicate the paper’s results on a GPU before the chips ship.

    The Physics of Intelligence: Turning Noise Into Computation

    At the heart of thermodynamic computing is a radical idea: computation as a physical relaxation process. Instead of enforcing digital determinism, TSUs let physical systems settle into low-energy configurations that correspond to probable solutions. This isn’t metaphorical — the chips literally use thermal fluctuations to perform Gibbs sampling across energy landscapes defined by machine-learned functions:contentReference[oaicite:5]{index=5}.

    In practical terms, it’s like replacing the brute-force precision of a GPU with the subtle statistical behavior of nature itself. Each transistor becomes a tiny particle in a thermodynamic system, collectively simulating the world’s most efficient sampler: reality.

    From Lab Demo to Scalable Platform

    The XTR-0 kit is already in the hands of select researchers, startups, and tinkerers. Its modular design allows easy upgrades to upcoming chips — like Z-1, Extropic’s first production-scale TSU, which will support complex probabilistic machine learning workloads. Eventually, TSUs will integrate directly with conventional accelerators, possibly as PCIe cards or even hybrid GPU-TSU chips:contentReference[oaicite:6]{index=6}.

    Extropic’s roadmap extends beyond AI. Because TSUs efficiently sample from continuous probabilistic systems, they could accelerate simulations in physics, chemistry, and biology — domains that already rely on stochastic processes. The company envisions a world where thermodynamic computing powers climate models, drug discovery, and autonomous reasoning systems, all at a fraction of today’s energy cost.

    Breaking the AI Energy Wall

    Extropic’s October 2025 announcement comes at a pivotal time. Data centers are facing grid bottlenecks across the U.S., and some companies are building nuclear-adjacent facilities just to keep up with AI demand:contentReference[oaicite:7]{index=7}. With energy costs set to define the next decade of AI, a 10,000× improvement in energy efficiency isn’t just an innovation — it’s a revolution.

    If Extropic’s thermodynamic hardware lives up to its promise, it could mark a “zero-to-one” moment for computing — one where the laws of physics, not the limits of silicon, define what’s possible. As the company put it in their launch note: “Once we succeed, energy constraints will no longer limit AI scaling.”

    Read the full technical paper on arXiv and explore the official Extropic site for their thermodynamic roadmap.